Investing in Dollar vs Investing in Rupee

In the age of growing volatility across the financial products, currency fluctuation over the years has been no different. The Indian rupee also had its share of wild fluctuations against the US Dollar.

Team EduFund
February 2, 2021

In the age of growing volatility across the financial products, currency fluctuation over the years has been no different. The Indian rupee also had its share of wild fluctuations against the US Dollar. For the ones who are not aware - Indian Rupee has depreciated to the tune of 61% in the past ten years, 11% in the past five years and 4% in 2020 (year-to-date) against the US Dollar (all data as on November 30, 2020). With the generation having global aspiration, such weakening local currency leads to higher pay-outs or direct losses when the liabilities are in US dollars, or the payments are in US dollars for the services availed.

A declining rupee against the USD is a spoilsport for Indians looking to travel abroad. It hits the budget of parents looking to send their children abroad for global quality education. Not just that, the imports get costlier, which result in rising prices of gourmet and related items.


Let us understand this with the help of an example, a simple case study – 

                                                   

Premium Vector | Male and female employee standing back to back looking  confident in office attire.





Let us assume, Mr. Bhandari invests Rs 35,000 per month in Indian Mutual funds that is likely to generate 12% returns (annually). He also links his SIP to his salary increment and says that every year he will increase the investment by 7% (Step-up). In this case the amount accumulated in 12 years (the time left for sending his child abroad for education for bachelors’ degree) is Rs 1.45 crore. Let us now see how Bhandari can save using US assets. Assuming, Bhandari does an SIP of USD 500 every month, and generate 11% returns (annually) while increasing SIP by same value as before, he is likely to accumulate ~200K USD. 


         

Source: EduFund Research


Now, since the cost of education or the tuition fees is to be paid in the USD, the accumulated corpus can help Mr. Bhandari pay the college tuition cost and cover some living expense too which accounts for a sizeable cost in the total education expense.

Building dollar dominated assets

We believe, investing in foreign assets helps the individual diversify their portfolio to cover the risk associated with volatile/fluctuating economic conditions in the home country. This is achieved because the investor tends to spread out the assets across geographies rather than sticking to conventional asset classes like domestic equities, debt, commodities. It is always advisable to have some investments in international stocks or assets. 

Let us now compare the returns from the dollar and Indian indices -

Over the past ten years (as on Nov 30, 2020), the INR has depreciated by 61% (~5% CAGR) in terms of US Dollar. At the same time, the US market has grown 169% (10.4% CAGR). Compare it to S&P BSE Sensex - which during the same period has grown 126% (8.5% CAGR). 

Source: Yahoo Finance, EduFund Research

Even if India outperforms foreign markets, the lack of perfect correlation between different markets reduces portfolio risk. 

Are you worried about the small portfolio to include a foreign asset class?

You don't need to worry if your portfolio is relatively small. You can always invest in foreign stocks is through a mutual fund registered in India or through US ETF, which is made very simple with the help of digital transactions. Investing in foreign assets shifts risk and acts as insurance against any wild swings that the domestic market may see. Under the liberalized remittance scheme (LRS), Indian residents are allowed to invest up to USD 250,000 annually in foreign stocks, bonds, and ETFs. While the money transfer to foreign broker has involved a bank branch visit, however the FinTechs in the space is gradually easing up the process by offering pickup and drop services for transfer forms. Besides, banks such as ICICI Bank allow a completely online process for transfers up to $25,000—10% of the total LRS limit. This has made the investing in simpler for people who aspire to invest in US Dollar as a class. It typically will help people looking to travel abroad, and/or looking to send their child abroad for education.


Investment
US Dollar Printing leading to Dollar Softness - What you should do?

How does the central bank put money in the economy? The Federal Reserve prints money and buys bonds equivalent to the money printed from the financial institutions.

February 13, 2021
5 Min Read
Education
Portfolio Diversification - Importance of choosing right asset class

Remember the game of hide & seek you must have played as a child? What was the strategy you implemented back then?

5 Min Read
Investment
Is your alpha chasing habit compromising your goal?

The Indian market, after touching all-time high in February 2020 plunged to Covid-19 outbreak. The market has corrected significantly since then but has managed to regain its earlier levels last month.

February 2, 2021
5 Min Read

Become an EduFund parent.

Download the EduFund app and secure your child’s future in a few minutes.
Best app for investing
Stay on top of your game. Fresh updates delivered straight to your inbox.
We promise, we won’t spam!
Thank you! Your submission has been received!
Oops! Something went wrong while submitting the form.
MUTUAL FUND COMPANIES

SBI  |  HDFC  |  ICICI Prudential  |  Aditya Birla Sun Life  |  Nippon Life India  |  Kotak Mahindra  |  Axis  |  UTI  |  IDFC   |  DSP  |  Franklin Templeton  |  L&T  |  Tata  |  Mirae  | Edelweiss | Sundaram  |  Invesco  | Motilal Oswal  |  Canara  |  LIC

DISCLAIMER

This website including the ‘[EduFund]’ platform is owned, operated and maintained by Helena Edtech Private Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of India. The platform and the services thereunder are provided on an "as is" basis. Use of the service and the platform is at your own risk. Company makes no warranty that the use of the service and the platform will be continuous, uninterrupted, bug-free, error-free, virus-free, free of defects, free of technical problems, nor that it will meet all of your needs. To the extent permitted by applicable law, Company expressly disclaims all other warranties, conditions, results, guarantees, or representations with respect to the service and the platform, whether express or implied, including, but not limited to, the implied warranties of merchantability, merchantable or satisfactory quality, fitness for a particular purpose, non-infringement of third party rights, or arising from the course of performance, course of dealing, or usage of trade.

Investment in securities market are subject to market risks, read all the related documents carefully before investing. The valuation of securities may increase or decrease depending on the factors affecting the securities market. 

EduFund and the EduFund App are the brand and product of Helena Edtech Private Limited
 
“An affiliate of the Company, i.e. Samyama Advisors Private Limited, is registered with the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) as an investment adviser under the SEBI (Investment Advisers) Regulations, 2013 bearing the registration number [INA000015321]. Samyama Advisors Private Limited may provide investment advice to the clients through the Company's platform.”

Registered Address: 30, Omkar House, Near Swastik Char Rasta, Navrangpura, Ahmedabad Gujarat, India – 380009
Transaction Platform Partner : BSE Star MF (with Member code-51573). CIN No: U67100GJ2020PTC112589.  RIA Number: INA000015321 GST No: 24AAFCH2122L1ZU